Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 1.914731 2.194448 2.502064 2.865674 3.284035 3.750676 4.311175
2025-07-27 1.587424 1.970073 2.426272 3.011153 3.742552 4.628877 5.787451
2025-08-03 1.323988 1.758525 2.313578 3.076640 4.101937 5.436955 7.315549
2025-08-10 1.083481 1.526556 2.127559 3.005829 4.262814 6.006533 8.625887
2025-08-17 0.881481 1.308118 1.918277 2.859439 4.284055 6.375010 9.705014
2025-08-24 0.755589 1.175230 1.804880 2.825053 4.450269 6.962061 11.183012
2025-08-31 0.652629 1.059269 1.696582 2.776484 4.579123 7.500094 12.657182
2025-09-07 0.601932 1.016853 1.694333 2.891834 4.981030 8.521587 15.073240
2025-09-14 0.545212 0.955502 1.651132 2.929573 5.252926 9.357366 17.291537
2025-09-21 0.486189 0.881460 1.575374 2.897565 5.393306 9.976206 19.204080
2025-09-28 0.425977 0.796918 1.469460 2.794632 5.385837 10.318790 20.637586
2025-10-05 0.405419 0.782480 1.488398 2.926626 5.839788 11.589540 24.086162
2025-10-12 0.384669 0.766739 1.506160 3.065789 6.342677 13.058031 28.248275
2025-10-19 0.362119 0.744560 1.508781 3.175701 6.804580 14.517815 32.657781
2025-10-26 0.335069 0.709576 1.481084 3.218582 7.131579 15.744515 36.771398
2025-11-02 0.299337 0.651549 1.398000 3.129990 7.156231 16.313333 39.466867
2025-11-09 0.262288 0.585763 1.289764 2.969660 6.992969 16.429930 41.094668
2025-11-16 0.239016 0.547619 1.237273 2.929617 7.105420 17.207398 44.503381
2025-11-23 0.217484 0.510661 1.182707 2.876817 7.178804 17.901013 47.820333
2025-11-30 0.209363 0.504124 1.197672 2.995071 7.696531 19.780729 54.642413
2025-12-07 0.196927 0.485565 1.181636 3.033400 8.014760 21.197631 60.451769
2025-12-14 0.181603 0.457914 1.139930 2.999774 8.137501 22.116021 65.010979
2025-12-21 0.163996 0.422298 1.073944 2.892853 8.044845 22.433480 67.861863